Who we are
Garrett's Signal is a macro and cross-asset research operation based in Asia.
Our team spent years inside institutional capital — providing research to funds managing significant positions across crypto, rates, FX, and commodities. Now part of that work is published publicly.
We don't predict markets. We decode signals.
How we work
Every piece of analysis follows the same discipline:
Anticipate the shift → Position early → Wait for the signal → Confirmation to add in size
Three rules we never break:
Cross-market verification. No crypto call without checking rates, FX, and commodities. Every thesis is stress-tested against at least one non-crypto signal.
Built-in invalidation. Every call tells you exactly what would prove us wrong. We publish our mistakes, not just our wins.
Asia-first signal. We surface what Western desks miss: where Asian capital flows, regional positioning shifts, and timezone-driven leads.
Position tracking:
Of our current initial 10 published positions, 8 have played out as called
Every position is documented with entry logic, invalidation condition, and outcome
New positions are added continuously as the macro regime evolves
Calls that hit before the market caught up:
📌 Who Breaks First? — Published a geopolitical fracture framework before the first sovereign cracks appeared. Played out almost exactly as mapped.
📌 Hormuz Is the Battlefield — Called duration as the real pricing variable before the strait became front-page news. Market confirmed within weeks.
📌 Day 22 of Hormuz — Identified the first crack in $39 trillion of sovereign wealth while consensus was still focused on oil prices.
📌 Boots on the Ground — Framed the escalation playbook before boots hit the ground.
What you’ll get
Free subscribers:
Weekly deep dives — the frameworks and big-picture narratives that move markets
Daily signal checks on X/Twitter
Paid members ($500/yr):
Weekly Signal Playbook — triggers, positioning, and invalidation matrix
Cross-Market Radar — verification across rates, USD, oil, equities, crypto
War Room updates — real-time analysis when the regime breaks
Full evidence chains and update logs
Our rules
We publish our invalidation — every call tells you what would prove us wrong.
We update fast when facts change — no doubling down on broken theses.
We show what we’re watching next — not just what already happened.
